Simulation of a classical swine fever outbreak in rural areas of the Republic of Serbia
2015
Аутори:
Stanojević, SlavoljubValčić, Miroslav
Stanojević, Slobodan
Radojičić, Sonja
Avramov, Stevan
Tambur, Zoran
Тип документа:
Чланак у часопису (Објављена верзија)
Метаподаци
Приказ свих података о документуАпстракт:
Several different strategies for control and eradication of classical
swine fever (CSF) were compared using a Monte Carlo method-based
simulation model. The control strategy analysed in this paper, in
addition to other CSF control measures, includes application of
biosecurity measures on pig farms and rural backyard holdings. Elements
of the control strategy are based on applicable regulations and include
the simulation of detection of the disease, setting up the protected and
surveillance zones, standstill of pig movements and restricted movement
of animals, vehicles, equipment, and people with strong control measures
in protection and surveillance zones, euthanasia of susceptible pigs,
protective vaccination of pigs, compensation etc. During the simulation,
different output parameters were compared such as: duration of epidemic
of a disease, number of affected holdings and animals, direct costs such
as those for dead or culled animals, costs of surveillance, disposal of
infectious materials, cleaning and disinfection. Depopulation of
affected animals with early diagnostics and vaccination in the
protection and surveillance zone proved to be the most effective
measures to stop the spread and for the eradication of the disease.
Moreover, during the simulation, systematic implementation of
biosecurity measures in all pig production clusters was demonstrated to
be an appropriate strategy for sustainable control of CSF and the
establishment of a stable epidemiological situation.
Кључне речи:
Monte Carlo simulation; classical swine fever; biosecurity measures; control strategyИзвор:
Veterinarni Medicina, 2015, 60, 10
DOI: 10.17221/8494-VETMED
ISSN: 0375-8427