Spatio-temporal analysis of land use/land cover change and its effects on soil erosion (Case study in the Oplenac wine-producing area, Serbia)
2018
Аутори:
Perović, VeljkoJakšić, Darko
Jaramaz, Darko
Koković, Nikola
Čakmak, Dragan
Mitrović, Miroslava
Pavlović, Pavle
Тип документа:
Чланак у часопису (Објављена верзија)
,
© 2018, Springer Nature Switzerland AG.
Метаподаци
Приказ свих података о документуАпстракт:
In this paper, various spatial modelling techniques were applied to analyse changes in soil cover and their impact on soil erosion in the Oplenac wine-producing area in Serbia in the past (1985 and 2013) and in the future (with predictions for 2041). The Integrated Valuation of Ecosystem Services and Trade-offs Sediment Delivery Ratio (InVEST SDR) model and the Modules for Land Use Change Evaluation (MOLUSCE) model, integrated with methods of remote sensing, were successfully applied and were shown to be valid tools for predicting the impact of Land Use Land Cover (LULC) changes when estimating soil loss. The results revealed that the greatest impact of land use changes between 1985 and 2013 was on a reduction in areas under vineyards and an extension of meadow and pasturelands as an individual and social response to economic conditions during the research period. The forecast for 2041 reflected the trends observed in the previous period, with the greatest changes witnessing an increase in urban areas and a decrease in areas of arable land. It was also found that the effect of LULC changes on spatio-temporal patterns in the Oplenac wine-producing area did not have a major impact on soil loss, meaning this area, with its good agro-climatic characteristics, is suitable for the intensification of agricultural production.
Кључне речи:
LULC; Soil erosion; Remote sensing; VineyardsИзвор:
Environmental Monitoring and Assessment, 2018, 190, 11, 675-Финансирање / пројекти:
- Екофизиолошке адаптивне стратегије биљака у условима мултипног стреса (RS-MESTD-Basic Research (BR or ON)-173018)
DOI: 10.1007/s10661-018-7025-4
PubMed: 30367275
WoS: 000448546400002
Scopus: 2-s2.0-85055614028
URI
http://link.springer.com/10.1007/s10661-018-7025-4https://radar.ibiss.bg.ac.rs/handle/123456789/3173